Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 1.372238 1.573371 1.794336 2.055205 2.354924 2.688696 3.088874
2025-07-06 1.025226 1.272321 1.566197 1.941874 2.410041 2.975163 3.710576
2025-07-13 0.866166 1.151010 1.513847 2.010864 2.675666 3.536671 4.740595
2025-07-20 0.753436 1.063644 1.483552 2.095167 2.966489 4.168177 5.960233
2025-07-27 0.660778 0.984705 1.447706 2.160324 3.234815 4.803163 7.282379
2025-08-03 0.577472 0.903613 1.393257 2.185473 3.443094 5.375857 8.597885
2025-08-10 0.491385 0.803647 1.293795 2.123625 3.504140 5.727851 9.619411
2025-08-17 0.412905 0.703092 1.177495 2.014729 3.468713 5.914090 10.389348
2025-08-24 0.363730 0.643235 1.117954 1.989121 3.564525 6.324255 11.593019
2025-08-31 0.320957 0.587989 1.057982 1.952586 3.632913 6.691130 12.766702
2025-09-07 0.301644 0.571709 1.063645 2.033640 3.923592 7.492940 14.862843
2025-09-14 0.277490 0.542960 1.042360 2.060278 4.113231 8.127983 16.725128
2025-09-21 0.248373 0.502002 0.995042 2.034574 4.206314 8.607521 18.390684
2025-09-28 0.215761 0.449757 0.919068 1.941025 4.149144 8.779313 19.446276
2025-10-05 0.204456 0.439632 0.926381 2.021375 4.469096 9.781715 22.472496
2025-10-12 0.195063 0.432222 0.938252 2.113118 4.827483 10.919605 25.995129
2025-10-19 0.184581 0.420950 0.940254 2.183080 5.147125 12.017991 29.609824
2025-10-26 0.171899 0.402955 0.924954 2.211014 5.372875 12.932754 32.932383
2025-11-02 0.154457 0.371546 0.875035 2.149859 5.375262 13.315740 34.982102
2025-11-09 0.136033 0.335324 0.809161 2.040384 5.241379 13.343530 36.111094
2025-11-16 0.124682 0.314921 0.778576 2.014903 5.317739 13.912999 38.788720
2025-11-23 0.113899 0.294528 0.745418 1.978149 5.359185 14.397851 41.315856
2025-11-30 0.110222 0.291937 0.756750 2.060448 5.733708 15.827905 46.784432